Transport for London is moving along with its early plans to extend the Bakerloo line into south east London. The results of a public consultation are out and it's possible to see some early thinking about routes.
The options are:
- Extend to Hayes and Beckenham Junction via Old Kent Road
- Extend to Hayes and Beckenham Junction via Camberwell and Peckham Rye
- Terminate at Lewisham
- Extend to Hayes and Bromley via Beckenham Junction
More people prefer the Camberwell/Peckham option but support for both is still high. More people would want the line to run past Lewisham than terminate there and there's decent backing for a tunnel to Bromley.
The Old Kent Road route would give faster journey times; this shorter route would also be cheaper to build. OKR is also a City Hall designated Opportunity Area (for homes and general economic growth) so there may well be more political will to route the extension that way. TfL also seems to (justifiably, in our view) believe a new rail link will remove some of the current traffic congestion. Reading between the lines, Camberwell and Peckham may be disappointed.
One thing that will probably make some people unhappy is the conversion of what's currently a national rail line between Hayes and Lewisham to run only tube services. People living in West Wickham, Elmers End and Ladywell would have to get used to trains running via Elephant and Castle and do without their direct services to London Bridge and Cannon Street. A more than doubling of service frequency should help them get over it, however.
There's also a positive knock-on effect: trains taken off the Hayes line could be redeployed elsewhere around the Southeastern network. But all of this also depends on TfL having enough money to convert the line; the extension may well initially terminate at Lewisham, causing Hayes-dwellers to be tubeless even longer.
TfL also received around 4,500 comments (out of a total of over 15,000) "regarding other options or routes", which we like to think were mainly along the lines of 'Lewisham sucks, take it past my house instead'.
Of course, there's no actual money in place yet to build anything; and even if/when it is, the tube won't be in south east London until at least 2030.